What is the rolling 30-year return of the stock market?
Stock Market Average Yearly Return for the Last 30 Years
Period (start-of-year to end-of-2023) | Average annual S&P 500 return |
---|---|
15 years (2009-2023) | 12.63% |
20 years (2004-2023) | 9.00% |
25 years (1999-2023) | 7.18% |
30 years (1994-2023) | 9.67% |
Looking at the S&P 500 for the years 1993 to mid-2023, the average stock market return for the last 30 years is 9.90% (7.22% when adjusted for inflation). Some of this success can be attributed to the dot-com boom in the late 1990s (before the bust), which resulted in high return rates for five consecutive years.
Median | Negative Periods | |
---|---|---|
Annualized Rolling Return | +10.66% | 27.19% 497 out of 1828 |
US Inflation Adjusted | +8.41% | 30.63% 560 out of 1828 |
Stock Market Historical Returns
40 Years (1982 – 2022): 11.6% annual return. 30 Years (1992 – 2022): 9.64% annual return. 20 Years (2002 – 2022): 8.14% annual return.
The S&P 500 returned 345% over the last two decades, compounding at 7.7% annually.
The worst 20 year return was a gain of less than 2% ending in 1949. This makes sense when you consider that period included the Great Depression and World War II. One of the neat things about the distribution of returns over 20 years is almost 90% of the time annual returns were 7% or higher.
The table below shows the present value (PV) of $10,000 in 20 years for interest rates from 2% to 30%. As you will see, the future value of $10,000 over 20 years can range from $14,859.47 to $1,900,496.38.
- High-yield savings accounts.
- Money market funds.
- Short-term certificates of deposit.
- Series I savings bonds.
- Treasury bills, notes, bonds and TIPS.
- Corporate bonds.
- Dividend-paying stocks.
- Preferred stocks.
The Dow Jones average return is 8.70%, as measured by the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial ETF (DIA), from its January 1998 inception through March 2022.
What is the rolling 15 year return on the stock market?
Adjusting for inflation, the index grew 11.2% per year during that period. But if you roll this period back just one year, which drops the strong return of 2023 while including the awful bear market of 2008, the 15-year return comes out to just 8.7%, or 6.4% adjusted for inflation.
Basic Info. S&P 500 10 Year Return is at 180.6%, compared to 174.1% last month and 161.9% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 114.4%.
S&P 500 3 Year Return is at 32.26%, compared to 33.72% last month and 58.99% last year. This is higher than the long term average of 23.25%. The S&P 500 3 Year Return is the investment return received for a 3 year period, excluding dividends, when holding the S&P 500 index.
With a $10,000 account, a good day might bring in a five percent gain, which is $500. However, day traders also need to consider fixed costs such as commissions charged by brokers. These commissions can eat into profits, and day traders need to earn enough to overcome these fees [2].
Average Stock Market Return Over the Last 30 Years
Since 1983, it has yielded 4,198%, and in the last decade, it gained 299%. The Nasdaq has an average annualized return of 10.4% for the past 30 years.
Using Shiller's data, since 1971 the S&P 500 has delivered an annualized return of 7.58%—or 10.51% with dividends reinvested. Investors who keep their money at work in the S&P 500 have been able to enjoy an annualized stock market return of around 10% over the long haul.
So far in 2024 (YTD), the S&P 500 index has returned an average 13.00%.
The market, while experiencing a lot of volatility in the 1970s including a 50% drawdown from the 1973 peak of 120 to 1974 trough of 63, roughly held flat from 1970 to 1980 in the 90-110 level. Of course, that outcome was no consolation for equity holders during that period, but fundamental earnings tripled!
Imagine you wish to amass $3000 monthly from your investments, amounting to $36,000 annually. If you park your funds in a savings account offering a 2% annual interest rate, you'd need to inject roughly $1.8 million into the account.
What is the best performing stock in the last 10 years?
Ticker | Name | 10Y Price Return |
---|---|---|
NVDA | NVIDIA Corp | 19213.98% |
AMD | Advanced Micro Devices Inc | 4301.48% |
FICO | Fair Isaac Corp | 2127.70% |
BLDR | Builders FirstSource Inc | 2121.91% |
Here's a specific rule to help boost your prospects for long-term stock investing success: Once your stock has broken out, take most of your profits when they reach 20% to 25%. If market conditions are choppy and decent gains are hard to come by, then you could exit the entire position.
Once you have $1 million in assets, you can look seriously at living entirely off the returns of a portfolio. After all, the S&P 500 alone averages 10% returns per year. Setting aside taxes and down-year investment portfolio management, a $1 million index fund could provide $100,000 annually.
Summary. $300,000 can last for roughly 26 years if your average monthly spend is around $1,600. Social Security benefits help bolster your retirement income and make retiring on $300k even more accessible. It's often recommended to have 10-12 times your current income in savings by the time you retire.
One of those tools is known as the Rule 72. For example, let's say you have saved $50,000 and your 401(k) holdings historically has a rate of return of 8%. 72 divided by 8 equals 9 years until your investment is estimated to double to $100,000.
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